Left on the Move Left on the Move Left on the Move

Despite the reestablishment of the supplying routine of the cities and the transport and gas stations returning to normal, the government has become so weak that it is unable to respond with any initiative. The unfolding of the recent speculative wave caused the stock market to fall. The “account” of the price reduction of diesel has not yet closed. The industrial and rural sectors complain about freight prices. Petrobras’ new president, Ivan Monteiro, made ambiguous statements about the frequency of fuel price readjustments and a hypothetical new pricing policy.

The “perfect storm” against the gang that runs the Planalto [presidency] is completed with the advance of investigations of corruption: Edson Fachin was authorized to break the bank secrecy of the two lieutenants of the president, Eliseu Padilha and Moreira Franco. The case of the house renovation paid by the “colonel friend”, João Baptista Lima Filho, still sets tongues wagging. This week, the architect Diogo de Freitas, responsible for the work at Temer’s daughter, Maristela,’s house, revealed in testimony to the federal police that Lima interceded in favor of his friend Michel and paid for the renovation. The government issued a defensive and confused note.

The Datafolha survey, meanwhile, provided Temer a new record of unpopularity: 82% of the population considers government to be bad or awful. Only 3% of respondents point to the Temer government as good or great. Temer tries to balance to get to the end of the term. Despite having only six months left, Temer’s position is very unstable. The press already speculates about the possibility of a new complaint being presented to the Congress. The lack of alternative scares the bourgeoisie which therefore becomes the main guarantor of the government.

The World Cup approaches and the uncertainty climate persists. All the economic indexes have deteriorated in the last weeks, denying the official discourse. Estimates of GDP for 2018 have fallen to 2% or less. There are already analysts who doubt even this lowered index will be reached and talk about another year of stagnation. On inflation, in turn, there is already a perception that it should be higher than analysts estimated at the beginning of the year.

Several factors need to be analyzed to discuss the nature of the current crisis. The international situation is not encouraging at all. Unemployment rate has not been improving. The precarious work has been growing, the prices rising, the cuts in social areas are felt dramatically … Temer increasingly hands over the national heritage, as he did with the pre-salt fields, as he is now striving to hand over Eletrobrás and four of the country’s main refineries. Brazil is being dismantled.

Market turmoil

Political and economic crises feed each other back. The data for the week indicated a drop in the stock markets, a rally for the dollar and a devaluation of the Real. With the government too weak to ensure intervention in price regulation after the acute crisis caused by the truckers’ rebellion, the crisis is linked to elements outside the conduction of the local economic policy. The Central Bank president, Ilan Goldfjan, went to the press to reassure investors after the turmoil of the week.

To bail out markets, the central bank has allocated billions in public money to control the dollar. More than 20 billion of foreign exchange reserves were used last week to “safeguard” the economy from external vulnerability. The IMF sympathized with the government’s economic policy.

Some external factors count on intensifying the crisis: the threat of a trade war and fluctuations in the price of oil, motivated by the instability of Trump and the United States’ moves; the effects of the devaluation of the Mexican peso, with the uncertainties of the renewal of the NAFTA treaty; and the unfolding of the Argentine crisis. The high follows the voracity of investors who bet on the devaluation of the Brazilian currency, betting on the “break” of the economy to gain more from speculation.

Distant October

While the economic scenario is not encouraging, the political environment is marked by uncertainties. The new Datafolha survey of June 10th marks early trends and many open variables. The almost unanimous rejection of a candidate supported by Temer demonstrates the depletion of his government. Meirelles, his candidate, does not reach 1% of the voting intentions: the failure of the “reformist” government motto.

There is a growing tendency for the “anger vote”. The extemporaneous elections in the state of Tocantins, for example, point in this direction: almost half of the voters did not go to the polls. Besides these, Lula continues to lead all the scenarios in which he appears. Bolsonaro maintains his position as the main antagonist of the PT candidate. Marina posits as the heiress of the center’s forces at a time when the right is against the wall and the PSDB crisis explodes expressed in a candidacy of Alckmin with difficulties to grow.

Ciro Gomes, in turn, has been using his rhetoric to say smart phrases against neoliberalism and the current government in debates and interviews, at the same time, however, that he draws on a composition with sectors of the industrial bourgeoisie, having as possible vice Benjamin Steinbruch, embodying a search for alliances with the right that could even include PP.

In such a marshy scenario, representatives of the “market” in the press insist on what would be the “need” of the country: a candidate capable of having the legitimacy of the polls to impose the adjustment, based on the maintenance of the spending ceiling, deepening labor reform and pension reform.

The PSOL, which begins to organize events of its majority and proportional pre-applications, should seek a location radically different from that one. In addition to combating the political caste, Boulos and Guajajara’s program must touch upon fundamental problems of the country, such as the taxation of large fortunes, the unconditional revocation of labor reform and the “ceiling”, the public debt audit and a new tax pact in the country.

With the Spirit of June, play on the left

Celebrating the days that changed the country this month five years ago, we reinforce our inspiration in the June struggles and in its legacy, supporting the ongoing struggles and mobilizations. But also raising an alternative program for the country. Our pre-candidates, from north to south of Brazil, are committed to the mottos of struggle, workers, women, youth, blackness.

We encourage initiatives such as the one organized by the women of PSOL, who call in their national seminary for an act in memory of Marielle Franco on Friday, June 15, in Rio de Janeiro, to once again shout: “Who killed and who ordered to kill Marielle “? It’s been already 90 days of impunity!

In the programmatic debate within the PSOL we will defend that the program of Boulos and Guajajara includes historical flags of the Party as the issue of debt audit.

It is necessary to fight and it is possible to overcome, with the wage campaigns, against the attacks against the public servants. With the intransigence of the “those from below” and the strength of the mobilization, we can fight against the rise in prices and put Temer out.

SOURCE: https://movimentorevista.com.br/2018/06/editorial-uma-crise-longe-do-fim


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